A pandemic-era correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100 futures is evaporating, stirring the debate about what role the token can play in investment portfolios.
The 30-day correlation between the virtual currency and the futures has fallen to almost zero in recent days, from a 2021 peak toward the end of September of 0.56 — a reading that suggested tech stocks and Bitcoin were often moving in tandem.
The correlation had generally been positive since February 2020.
For Carsten Menke, head of next generation research with Bank Julius Baer in Zurich, the evolution of the relationship between stocks and Bitcoin hurts arguments that it is a reliable, modern-day store of value for portfolios.
“The lack of a consistent and negative correlation between Bitcoin and equities clearly suggests that Bitcoin is not yet a safe haven,” he said, stressing that in times of financial-market stress it tends to suffer like other riskier assets.
The token slid this week — down 7% and nearing $58,000 at one point — while the Nasdaq 100 is showing a small gain. For some, the fact the swoon didn’t have wider ramifications shows Bitcoin remains far from the mainstream.
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